Murphy Leads Guadagno by 16 Points. Menendez Hemorrhaging Strong Support for Booker, Voters Split Over Sanctuary Cities

The new Emerson College poll in New Jersey finds the Democratic gubernatorial candidate Phil Murphy leading the Republican candidate, Lieutenant Governor Kim Guadagno, by 16 points – 47% to 31%. This margin represents an improvement for Murphy, who led Guadagno by a smaller 11-point margin in the last Emerson College poll of the state on October 2. The poll consisted of a mixed mode online and IVR sample and has a margin of error of +/- 4.2%.

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Boston Voters Prefer NFL Commissioner to President Trump 2 to 1. Mayor Walsh – 38 point lead in Boston Mayor’s race; GOP Gov. Baker Very Popular in Boston; Strong support for bills to Increase in Education Funding and access to Contraception

When the NFL commissioner was at Gillette Stadium for opening night this year, he was faced with mass boos from Patriot fans but it appears that President Trump would receive an even nastier reception if he visited Boston. When registered voters were asked who they viewed more favorably: President Trump or NFL Commissioner Roger Goodell, the Commissioner got the best of the President 72% to 28%.

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North Korea – Biggest Threat, Support for DACA, Canada as Good Neighbor, Views on Catalonia Independence, Men better suited for politics, and 2020 Pres. Race

A new Emerson College national poll finds President Donald Trump with a 44% job approval rating with registered voters and a 50% disapproval rating. The President has seen a 7 point drop from Emerson’s last National poll in February when 48% approve/47% disapproved of the President’s job performance. Similarly, 40% said the country was headed in the right direction while 50% said we were headed in the wrong direction. The poll was conducted October 12-14, 2017, among registered voters, with a sample size of n = 820 and a margin of error of +/- 3.4%.

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Democratic Lieutenant Governor Ralph Northam leading former Republican National Committee chair Ed Gillespie in the race for Governor

A new Emerson College poll in Virginia finds Democratic Lieutenant Governor Ralph Northam leading former Republican National Committee chair Ed Gillespie in the race for Governor by a margin of five points, 49% to 44%. Libertarian nominee Cliff Hyra takes 2%. The margin is virtually unchanged from the results of the 2016 Presidential election in the state – Hillary Clinton defeated Donald Trump in the Old Dominion 50% to 44%. The poll, with a sample size of n = 318 and a margin of error of +/- 5.5%, was conducted from October 5 – October 7.

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Democrat Murphy Leads Republican Guadagno by 11 points in NJ Governor’s Race. Voters Want Menendez Out Regardless of Verdict

With about five weeks until the New Jersey Governor’s election, a new Emerson College poll finds Democrat Phil Murphy leading Republican Kim Guadagno 46% to 35% with 12% of voters undecided.

Both Murphy and Guadagno have mediocre popularity among voters with Murphy caring a 31% favorable and 34% unfavorable opinion, while Guadagno is slightly worse at 31% favorable to 37% unfavorable. Thirty-one percent (31%) of the electorate has no opinion of Murphy, while 28% have no opinion of Guadagno, suggesting both have much work to do with voters before Election Day.

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Moore with Significant Lead Over Strange for GOP US Senate Nomination in Alabama. Democrat Doug Jones in statistical tie in General Election

A new Emerson Poll finds Alabama incumbent Senator Luther Strange trailing former Judge Roy Moore by 14 percentage points with about two weeks until the Special Election on September 26. Moore polled at 40% while Strange was at 26%. Thirty-four percent (34%) of voters were undecided, and the survey had a margin of error of 5.2 percentage points.

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Strange Closes Gap but Moore Still leads by Double Digits in AL for GOP Senate Nomination

A new Emerson College Poll of Alabama finds that over the past two weeks, incumbent Senator Luther Strange has gained ground in his battle with challenger Roy Moore just two days before the September 26 runoff. Moore still leads Strange 50% to 40%, but the gap has narrowed. Strange trailed Moore by 14 points two weeks ago in Emerson’s previous Alabama poll.

President Trump’s ardent support of Luther Strange in the recent weeks is the likely cause of the gap closing. Voters in Alabama give President Trump a 61% favorable opinion and 32% unfavorable opinion, but of likely GOP Alabama primary voters, Trump’s popularity soars to 80% favorable. However, even among Trump’s supporters, Moore has razor-thin lead 49%-47%, a significant improvement for Strange since the last Emerson poll, in which Moore led among Trump supporters 51% to 32%.

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Mayor Walsh Leads by 31 points with Affordable Housing a Key Issue

A new Emerson College poll finds Boston Mayor Marty Walsh enjoying sky high popularity, with a 72% favorable opinion among those surveyed in Boston, and a 31 point lead in the primary scheduled for September 26. The poll of likely voters has Walsh at 52% with his closest competition, Councilor Tito Jackson at 21%, 16% are still undecided.

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Strange and Moore poised for Runoff in AL GOP Primary, Jones with chance to wrap of Democratic nomination

A new Special Election primary poll for the U.S. Senate seat in Alabama vacated by Attorney General Jeff Sessions finds the appointed Senator Luther Strange in a statistical dead heat with former Alabama Chief Justice Roy Moore at 32% to 29%, both men appear well below the 50% threshold needed to win the nomination outright and it is more likely than not that a September 26 run-off will be needed. Congressman Mo Brooks is in third with 15% and State Senator Trip Pittman rounds out the top four with 10%. Eleven-percent (11%) of Republican primary voters were undecided and no other candidate was above 2%.

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Greg Gianforte (R) coasts with double-digit lead in MT congressional race. Voters show favorable opinion of Donald Trump, strong support of Keystone XL pipeline

A new poll shows Republican Greg Gianforte ahead of Democrat Rob Quist in the race for Montana’s newly-vacant congressional seat. Gianforte yields 52% of the vote to Quist’s 37%. Libertarian Mark Wicks takes 5% of the vote, while 7% of Montana voters remain undecided. Since Montana has only one congressional district, this will be the first statewide election since President Trump took office.

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