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Majority of Americans disagree with Trump’s national emergency despite a plurality agreeing with border wall extension

Following the president’s announcement on Friday, 53% of Americans disapprove of the declaration of a national emergency on the southern border. Despite this, the majority of Americans support the wall in some form; a plurality, 48%, support extending the border wall, and 42% of Americans support maintaining the existing wall. Only 11% of Americans support removal of the wall altogether. The national poll of registered voters was conducted February 14-16 with a margin of error of +/- 3 percentage points.

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Washington Monthly: Joe Biden Is a Placeholder Candidate for Democratic Voters

The first votes to be cast in the 2020 Democratic presidential primary are still almost a year away and only a handful of potential candidates have announced their intention to run. Over the next few months, it is likely that more will enter the race and, in the lead-up to the debates this summer, all of the candidates will fill in the missing pieces of their platforms. All of that means that Democratic voters have a lot to learn before it comes time to commit to a particular candidate.

None of that has stopped pollsters from attempting to tell us who is leading the pack. A recent poll by Emerson of potential Iowa caucus-goers is pretty indicative of what we’ve seen from national polls so far.

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Washington Times: Joe Biden is Democratic front-runner in Iowa caucus, poll shows

A survey from Emerson College showed that Mr. Biden, with 29 percent, had a double-digit lead over Sen. Kamala D. Harris, a California Democrat who launched her campaign just weeks ago.

 

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Washington Examiner: Biden the Democrats’ sole hope to beat Trump in 2020, says Iowa poll

In a direct match-up with Trump, Biden would prevail in 2020 with 51 percent of the vote to the president’s 49 percent, Emerson College found in a survey released on Saturday. Other contenders eyeing the Democratic nomination, including Sens. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and Kamala Harris, D-Calif., as well as former Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-Texas, earned enough support to fall within the research’s margin of error.

 

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The Gazette: One year out, Biden leads Democratic field, Trump

In the Emerson College poll of 260 planned Democratic caucusgoers, Biden is leading at 29 percent, well ahead of California Sen. Kamala Harris, who is polling 18 percent — 364 days before Iowa’s first-in-the-nation precinct caucuses. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, who came within a hair’s breadth of defeating eventual nominee Hillary Clinton in the 2016 caucuses, is next at 15 percent, followed by Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren at 11 percent as the only potential candidates in double digits.

 

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Iowa Poll: One year out from Caucus: Biden leads Democratic Field- Third Party Candidacy Helps Trump

A new Emerson College poll finds President Trump’s approval rating underwater at 46% approval with 48% disapproval. However, the President remains competitive against his potential 2020 Democratic rivals, leading against 7 of 8 candidates. The poll was conducted Jan 30-Feb 2 of registered Iowa voters, n=831 and a MOE +/-3.4 percentage points.

Biden is also the only potential candidate to be leading Trump in a head to head matchup, by a margin of 51% to 49%. Trump leads Sanders by 1% (51-50), Warren by 4% (52-48), and Harris and O’Rourke by 6% (53-47), all within the poll’s margin of error. President Trump seems to have locked up support from Iowa Republicans. In a potential matchup with former Ohio Governor John Kasich, Trump leads 90% to 10%.

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January National Poll: Voters split on Trump’s offer of temporary relief for “Dreamers,” oppose amnesty. Warren leads among announced 2020 Democratic Candidates

Amidst the government shutdown, President Trump’s job approval dropped this month to a 52% disapproval and 42% approval, this is down from December’s poll where disapproval was 47% to 43% approve. Regarding the President’s re-election, 57% said it was time to give someone else a chance while 43% said President Trump deserves to be re-elected. The poll was conducted January 20-21, 2019, n=942, +/- 3.2 percentage points.

Voters are split on who to blame for the shutdown with 42% blaming the President, 36% blaming the Democrats in Congress, 6% blaming the Republicans in Congress, and 16% blaming everyone. About 1 in 4 voters (27%) have noticed a difference in their personal lives because of the shutdown.

Voters generally favor increasing enforcement of immigration laws at U.S. borders with 55% in favor and 24% opposed. The wall is not seen as a solution at the border for 41% of voters, while 59% believe it could be a solution. 26% believe it is the best solution while 33% believe it is one of several potential solutions for border security.

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Washington Post: The mostly unanswerable question: Which close races were won by dirty tricks?

Polls at the end of the contest showed that it was close; one, from Emerson College, had Kemp up two points. That poll ended a couple of days before Kemp’s office blamed hacking on the Democrats.

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FiveThirtyEight: Americans Don’t Want A Government Shutdown Because Of The Border Wall

straw poll of the 2020 Democratic primary field among members of the progressive group MoveOn.org found U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke of Texas on top, followed by former Vice President Joe Biden, Sen. Bernie Sanders and others. Meanwhile, an Emerson College poll found O’Rourke trailing Biden and Sanders. So what do we make of this? Remember that early polls are useful as an indicator of who is likely to run in a primary election, but they don’t always tell us much about who might win.

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Daily Mail: Majority of Americans want a bilateral trade deal with the UK before or soon after we leave the EU, poll reveals

A clear majority of Americans want a bilateral trade deal to be agreed with the UK before or soon after we leave the EU, a poll has found.

Donald Trump recently criticized Theresa May‘s withdrawal agreement and suggested a US-UK trade deal may never happen.

But the survey by Emerson College, a university in Boston, Massachusetts, suggests ordinary Americans are more enthusiastic about the so-called ‘special relationship’.

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