Final Emerson Battleground Polls Finds Democratic Momentum in Florida, Nevada, South Dakota and Arizona; Republicans Poised to Take Missouri Senate Seat

In Florida, US Senator Bill Nelson (D) now is at 50%, with Gov. Rick Scott (R) at 45%. In the Florida gubernatorial race, Andrew Gillum (D)  is at 51% and Ron DeSantis (R) is at 46%.

In Nevada’s senate race, Democratic candidate Jacky Rosen (D) is at 49% while incumbent Senator Dean Heller (R) is at 45%. In the gubernatorial race, Steve Sisolak (D) is leading Adam Laxalt (R) 48% to 47%.

Arizona voters are splitting their tickets: Democratic US Senate candidate Kyrsten Sinema (D) is slightly leading GOP Martha McSally (R), 49% to 48%, while current Governor Doug Ducey (R) is leading challenger David Garcia (D) in the gubernatorial race 55% to 40%.

In Missouri, Republicans look to pick up a US Senate seat. GOP challenger Josh Hawley (R) leads incumbent Claire McCaskill (D) 49% to 46%.

There is a potential Democratic upset in the South Dakota Governor race, as Kristi Noem (R) has only a slim lead over challenger Billie Sutton (D) 48% to 47%.

Results Below

Missouri Senate

MM, LV, Nov 1-3, n=732, +/- 3.8%

Josh Hawley (R) 49%, Claire McCaskill (D-inc) 46%, 3% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 47% favorable, 46% unfavorable

Hawley 43% favorable, 42% unfavorable

McCaskill 41% favorable, 49% unfavorable

Marijuana Ballot Initiative

63% Support, 27% Oppose, 10% Unsure/Neutral

Minimum Wage Ballot Initiative

60% Support, 31% Oppose, 9% Unsure/Neutral

Results

Transparency Initiative

Nevada Governor

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=1197, +/-3.0%

Steve Sisolak (D) 48%, Adam Laxalt (R) 47%, 2% undecided

Nevada Senate

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=1197, +/- 3.0%

Jacky Rosen (D) 49%, Dean Heller (R-inc) 45%, 4% undecided

Nevada USC District 1

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=238, +/- 6.6%

Dina Titus (D-inc) 58%, Joyce Bentley (R) 28%, 7% undecided

Nevada USC District 2

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=365, +/- 5.3%

Clint Koble (D) 37%, Mark Amodei (R-inc) 58%, 6% undecided

Nevada USC District 3

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=332, +/- 5.6%

Susie Lee (D) 50.6%, Danny Tarkanian (R) 41.4%, 3% undecided

Nevada USC District 4

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=263, +/- 6.3%

Steven Horsford (D) 48%, Cresent Hardy (R) 44%, 3% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 47% favorable, 48% unfavorable

Rosen 42% favorable, 42% unfavorable

Heller 43% favorable, 46% unfavorable

Results

Transparency Initiative

Arizona Governor

MM, LV, Nov 1-3, n=758, +/- 3.7%

Doug Ducey (R-inc) 55%, David Garcia (D) 40%, 5% undecided

Arizona Senate

MM, LV, Nov 1-3, n=758, +/- 3.7%

Kyrsten Sinema (D) 49%, Martha McSally (R) 48%, Angela Green (G) 2%, 2% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 45% favorable, 48% unfavorable

Results

Transparency Initiative

Florida Governor

MM, LV, Nov 1-3, n=784, +/- 3.7%

Andrew Gillum (D) 51%, Ron DeSantis (R) 46%, 1% undecided

Florida Senate

MM, LV, Nov 1-3, n=784, +/- 3.7%

Bill Nelson (D-inc) 50%, Rick Scott (R) 45%, 3% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 46% favorable, 50% unfavorable

Scott 42% favorable, 46% unfavorable

Nelson 42% favorable, 40% unfavorable

Felon Ballot Rights Ballot Initiative

59% Support, 32% Oppose, 9% Unsure/Neutral

Results

Transparency Initiative

South Dakota Governor

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=514, +/-4.5%

Kristi Noem (R) 48%, Billie Sutton (D) 47%, 5% undecided

South Dakota USC At-Large

MM, LV, Nov 1-4, n=514, +/-4.5%

Dusty Johnson (R) 54%, Tim Bjorkman (D) 38%, 5% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 56% favorable, 40% unfavorable

Sutton 50% favorable, 30% unfavorable

Noem 45% favorable, 44% unfavorable

Results

Transparency Initiative