2018 US National Public Opinion Survey of Global Strategic Partnerships and Education Diplomacy

Full Report

Results

Final Emerson Battleground Polls Finds Democratic Momentum in Florida, Nevada, South Dakota and Arizona; Republicans Poised to Take Missouri Senate Seat

In Florida, US Senator Bill Nelson (D) now is at 50%, with Gov. Rick Scott (R) at 45%. In the Florida gubernatorial race, Andrew Gillum (D)  is at 51% and Ron DeSantis (R) is at 46%.

In Nevada’s senate race, Democratic candidate Jacky Rosen (D) is at 49% while incumbent Senator Dean Heller (R) is at 45%. In the gubernatorial race, Steve Sisolak (D) is leading Adam Laxalt (R) 48% to 47%.

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The Hill: Poll: Rosen leads Heller by 4 points in Nevada Senate race

The Emerson College poll released Tuesday found Rosen opening up a small lead over Heller among likely voters surveyed, 49 percent to 45 percent, which is just outside the poll’s 3-point margin of error. Four percent of likely voters remain undecided in the final stretch.

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Tight Governor Races in Georgia, Wisconsin and Iowa. Democrats look to pick up two House seats in Iowa

Three new Emerson polls look at competitive Governor races in Georgia, Wisconsin, and Iowa.

In Georgia, Republican Brian Kemp is at 49% with his Democratic opponent Stacey Abrams at 47%, Libertarian Ted Metz 1% and 2% undecided. If neither candidate reaches the 50% threshold on election day, Georgia will hold a run-off on December 6.

In Wisconsin, Democratic candidate Tony Evers is at 51% with Incumbent Republican Scott Walker at 46% while US Senator Tammy Baldwin (D) is at 53% with her Republican opponent Leah Vukmir at 44%.  Independents in the Governor race are breaking for Evers 51% to 40%.

The Iowa Governor race is within 4 points with incumbent Kim Reynolds (R) at 49% and Fred Hubbell (D) 45%, with 5% undecided. Democrats are looking to pick up two House seats in the 1st and 3rd districts. In District 1, Abby Finkenauer (D) is at 53%, Rod Blum (R-inc) is at 41%, 2% are undecided. In District 3, Cindy Axne (D) is at 46%, David Young (R-inc) is at 45%, and 6% are undecided.

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West Virginia Senate Race Tightens as Texas Senate Race Remains Close; Republicans Look to Hold Three House Seats in WV

Three new Emerson battleground polls find two US Senators in vulnerable positions; in Texas, US Senator Ted Cruz (R-Inc) is at 50%, Beto O’Rourke (D) 47%, 2% undecided.

In West Virginia US Senator Joe Manchin (D-Inc) at 47%, Patrick Morrisey (R) 42%, 8% undecided. Manchin has a slightly more positive image in the state with a 46% favorable/ 43% unfavorable while Morrissey is underwater at 35%/ 52%, however President Trump is popular in WV with a 56% favorable/ 39% unfavorable.

In Tennessee, Marsha Blackburn (R) 52%, Phil Bredesen (D) 44%, 3% undecided.

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