Two House Races In Play and Potential Gubernatorial Upset in 3 NE States

Three new Emerson polls find competitive House races in Maine and New Hampshire and a tight race in Connecticut for Governor.  In Maine’s 2nd, Jared Golden (D) 47% is looking to upset incumbent Bruce Poliquin (R-inc) 46%, 4% undecided. If neither candidate reaches 50%, then a rank choice vote will be used to determine the winner. This is the first year Maine is using rank choice voting.

In New Hampshire’s 1st district Chris Pappas (D) 48% is trying to hold the seat for the Democrats against Eddie Edwards (R) 46%, 5% undecided.

The unpopularity of CT. Gov. Dannel Malloy maybe hurting the Democratic nominee, Ned Lamont who is at 46% with his Republican opponent Bob Stefanowski at 39%. Malloy has a 21% favorable/ 62% unfavorable; President Trump has a 36% favorable rating in Connecticut.

Connecticut US Senate

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=780, +/-3.7%

Chris Murphy (D-inc) 55%, Matthew Corey 35% (R) , 7% undecided

Connecticut Governor

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=780, +/-3.7%

Ned Lamont (D) 46%, Bob Stefanowski (R) 39%, 5% undecided

Name recognition

Lamont 41% favorable/ 39% unfavorable

Stefanowski 40% favorable/ 46% unfavorable

Dan Malloy 21% favorable/ 62% unfavorable

Donald Trump 36% favorable/ 58% unfavorable

53% support legalizing marijuana for recreational use and commercial sale for people 21 and older, with 30% oppose.

Results

Transparency Initiative

Maine US Senate

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=883, +/-3.5%

Angus King (I-inc) 50%, Eric Brakey (R) 37%, Zak Ringelstein 6%, 7% undecided

Maine Governor

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=883, +/-3.5%

Janet Mills (D) 50%, Shawn Moody (R) 42%, 4% undecided

Maine USC District 1

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=442, +/-4.9%

Chellie Pingree (D) 56%, Mark Holbrook (R) 31%, 6% undecided

Maine USC District 2

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=441, +/-4.9%

Jared Golden (D) 47%, Bruce Poliquin (R-inc) 46%, 4% undecided

Name Recognition

Trump 41% favorable/ 55% unfavorable

Mills 48% favorable/ 38% unfavorable

Moody 43% favorable/ 41% unfavorable

Hypothetical Ballot, US Sen. Susan Collins (R-inc) 44%, Susan Rice 20%

Results

Transparency Initiative

New Hampshire Governor

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=441, +/-4.9%

Chris Sununu (R-inc) 51%, Molly Kelly (D) 43%, 5% undecided

New Hampshire USC District 1

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=570, +/-4.3%

Chris Pappas (D) 48%, Eddie Edwards (R) 46%, 5% undecided

New Hampshire USC District 2

MM, LV, Oct 27-29, n=569, +/-4.3%

Anne McLane Kuster (D) 52%, Steve Negron 40%, 7% undecided

Name Recognition

Sununu 60% favorable, 27% unfavorable

Kelly 39% favorable, 29% unfavorable

Trump 42% favorable, 51% unfavorable

Results

Transparency Initiative