USA Today: New poll finds Sen. Ted Cruz in statistical tie with Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke

Republican incumbent Sen. Ted Cruz is in a statistical dead heat with Rep. Beto O’Rourke in Texas, according to an Emerson College e-poll published Wednesday.

The e-poll, which was conducted from Aug. 22-25 with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percent, found Cruz with 38 percent of the vote, O’Rourke with 37 percent and 21 percent of respondents undecided.

According to the poll, the biggest challenge for Cruz in his path to a second term in the U.S. Senate is among independent voters. Cruz had a 57 percent unfavorable and only 25 percent favorable rating within that group, the poll found.

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Dead heat in Texas between Sen. Cruz and Rep. O’Rourke. Governor Abbott comfortably ahead about 10 weeks out from Election Day

A new Emerson College Poll finds the US Senate race neck and neck with Senator Ted Cruz at 38% and US Rep Beto O’Rourke at 37%; 4% are voting for someone else and 21% were undecided. In the Governor race, Gov. Greg Abbott has a 20 point advantage- 48% to 28% for Lupe Valdez a former sheriff of Dallas County, 3% were voting for someone else and 20% were undecided. The Poll was conducted 8/22-8/25, +/- 4.4 percentage points.

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Gary Johnson Stirs Up Senate Race in New Mexico; Tight Race for Governor – Majority do not support expansion of Border Wall, but major split along party lines

Former New Mexico Governor and Presidential Candidate Gary Johnson is the top competition against US Senator Martin Heinrich (D) after announcing on Thursday that he was running for US Senate, according to an Emerson poll. The poll found incumbent Heinrich is at 39% Johnson at 21%, and the Republican nominee Mick Rich at 11%. 30% of voters were undecided. The poll was conducted August 17-18 with a +/-4.6 percentage points.

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In Minnesota, Republican Housley in dead heat against US Senator Tina Smith; Regardless of Primary Winner Democrats Look Strong in Minnesota Governor Race

A new poll finds U.S. Senator Amy Klobuchar (DFL) leading her likely GOP opponent state Rep. Jim Newberger 50% to 26%, while the State’s Junior Senator Tina Smith (DFL) is in a toss-up situation against likely Republican nominee Karin Housley 32% to 28% with 41% undecided within the poll’s margin of +/-4.6 percentage points. Data was collected August 8-11.

A look within the Democratic primary for Governor suggests a very close race on Tuesday as voters are split among the top candidates. State Attorney General Lori Swanson is at 29% and Rep. Tim Walz is at 28%. Former state House Majority leader/Emily list endorsed Erin Murphy is statistical tied with the two at 19%, and 24% are undecided/other. (n=217; +/- 6.9%)

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Dead Heat in Ohio 12; Power of the President on Display

The final US Congressional special election before the November midterm elections will be held on August 7 in Ohio’s 12th district and it shows a neck and neck race: the Democrat, Franklin County Recorder Danny O’Connor has 47% of the vote and Republican, State Senator Troy Balderson is at 46%, 7% of very likely voters were undecided. The data was collected August 2 to 4, with +/-5 percentage points. The poll was taken prior to President Trump’s rally in the district on August 4.

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MSNBC: Monday’s Campaign Round-Up, 8.6.18

On a related note, the latest Emerson College poll in Ohio’s 12th shows Danny O’Connor (D) with a narrow lead over Troy Balderson (R), 47% to 46%. The survey was conducted, however, before Donald Trump headlined a local rally for Balderson on Saturday night.

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FOX News: Polls on eve of crucial Ohio special election show ‘neck and neck’ race as Trump, GOP face national test

Tuesday’s contest in Ohio is not a primary, but a special election to determine who will take the House seat held by retired Rep. Pat Tiberi. A poll conducted earlier this month by the Emerson College Polling Society and released Monday found that the upstart Democrat in the race, 31-year-old Danny O’Connor, is holding onto a one-percentage point lead over two-term Republican State Senator Troy Balderson, 56, with seven percent of very likely voters still undecided.

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