Jones pulls within 3 points on Moore in Alabama; Third Party Busby Could Cost Moore Senate Seat

Democrat Doug Jones and Republican Roy Moore are in a statistical dead heat with Moore leading Jones 49% to 46%, with third party candidate Lee Busby at 5% in a new Emerson College Poll. The poll was conducted November 30-December 2, with a 4.3 percentage point margin of error.

Moore’s lead continues to slip in the wake of sexual misconduct allegations, from 10 points (55% to 45%) in an Emerson poll on November 9-11, to 6 points in Emerson’s previous poll, conducted, November 26-27 (53% to 47%).

This last week, Jones’ favorability stayed steady at 44%, but his unfavorable rating increased from 31% to 43%. Moore’s ratings remain largely unchanged – 42% favorable and 48% unfavorable.

The Alabama Emerson College poll was conducted November 30- Dec 2, 2017 under the Supervision of Professor Spencer Kimball. The sample consisted of only very likely registered voters, n=500, with a margin of error (MOE) of +/- 4.3 percentage points. The Alabama data was weighted by gender, region, 2016 vote, and mode of data collection. It is important to remember that subsets based on gender, age, party affiliation, and education carry with them higher margins of error, as the sample size is reduced. Data was collected using both an Interactive Voice Response (IVR) system of landlines only and an online panel provided by Survey Sampling International (SSI).

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